What countries are in Stage 1 of the DTM?
Abigail Rogers
Updated on April 21, 2026
At stage 1 the birth and death rates are both high. So the population remains low and stable. Places in the Amazon, Brazil and rural communities of Bangladesh would be at this stage.
What countries are in Stage 3 of the DTM?
As such, Stage 3 is often viewed as a marker of significant development. Examples of Stage 3 countries are Botswana, Colombia, India, Jamaica, Kenya, Mexico, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates, just to name a few.
Which countries are in stage 4 of the DTM?
Examples of countries in Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition are Argentina, Australia, Canada, China, Brazil, most of Europe, Singapore, South Korea, and the U.S.
Which countries are in stage 2 of the DTM?
Still, there are a number of countries that remain in Stage 2 of the Demographic Transition for a variety of social and economic reasons, including much of Sub-Saharan Africa, Guatemala, Nauru, Palestine, Yemen and Afghanistan.
What countries are Stage 5?
Possible examples of Stage 5 countries are Croatia, Estonia, Germany, Greece, Japan, Portugal and Ukraine. According to the DTM each of these countries should have negative population growth but this has not necessarily been the case.
What is Stage 4 of DTM?
Stage 4: Total population is high and growing slowly. It is balanced by a low birth rate (15 per 1,000) and a low death rate (12 per 1,000). Contraception is widely available and there is a social desire to have smaller families.
What is a Stage 4 country?
In Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition Model (DTM), birth rates and death rates are both low, stabilizing total population growth. Examples of countries in Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition are Argentina, Australia, Canada, China, Brazil, most of Europe, Singapore, South Korea, and the U.S.
Will there be a stage 6 of the DTM?
Although it is normal for fertility decline in medium to high-HDI countries, there is evidence for fertility increase in areas of very advanced human development. Perhaps it is this that could serve as a new model of what might be called ‘stage 6’ of humanities ever changing demographic transition.
Why is no country in Stage 1?
Because of this the natural increase rate is close to zero. Zero population growth is when the crude birth rate and crude death rate are equal and the population remains the same. The birth rate and the death rate are both high and equal each other out. No official country in the world is currently in stage 1.
Which countries are in stage 5 of the DTM?
What countries are in Stage 1?
The model has five stages. Stage 1. At stage 1 the birth and death rates are both high. So the population remains low and stable. Places in the Amazon, Brazil and rural communities of Bangladesh would be at this stage.
Which countries are in Stage 2 of demographic transition?
Still, there are a sum of countries that continue in Stage 2 of the Demographic Transition for a range of social and economic reasons, including much of Sub-Saharan Africa, Guatemala, Nauru, Palestine, Yemen and Afghanistan.
What is demographic transition model?
The Demographic Transition Model (DTM) is based on historical population trends of two demographic characteristics – birth rate and death rate – to suggest that a country’s total population growth rate cycles through stages as that country develops economically.